Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Pilica Białobrzegi

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.5	11
	1.19	6.62	8.5
	1.19	6.62	8.5
	1.17	6.5	10.5	Watch
	1.17	6.5	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	6.55 ↑ (4.75)	9.66 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
76.8%

Draw
13.8%

Pilica Białobrzegi
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.9%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.

Pilica Białobrzegi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pilica Białobrzegi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.11.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:4 ✺
14.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWL
- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.11.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Unia Skierniewice	0:4 ✺
29.10.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	5:2 ✺
14.10.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	6:1
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.03.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0
17.08.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1

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