Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)


	Pogoń Siedlce		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2	3.05	3.4
	2.07	3.15	3.2
	2.1	3.13	3.56
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	1.94	3.42	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.5)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.37 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
44.7%

Draw
28.3%

Polkowice
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Siedlce's performance.

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polkowice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Siedlce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polkowice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Siedlce - Polkowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

Pogoń Siedlce is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polkowice is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Siedlce could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pogoń Siedlce have a series of home games.

In this match Pogoń Siedlce is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
04.03.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.02.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
24.02.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.02.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWW
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 2
05.03.23	Polkowice - KKS Kalisz	1:3 ✺
24.02.23	Motor Lublin - Polkowice	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Chlumec nad Cidlinou - Polkowice	2:2 ✺
04.02.23	Polkowice - Ślęza Wrocław	4:2 ✺
28.01.23	Polkowice - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
10.08.22	Polkowice - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2
10.04.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Polkowice	1:2
03.10.20	Polkowice - Pogoń Siedlce	4:2
17.06.20	Pogoń Siedlce - Polkowice	1:3
14.09.19	Polkowice - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1

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