Match Info

Division 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.32	3.2	2.92
	2.45	3.3	3.11
	2.21	3.45	3.12	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.3	3.06	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.13)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	2.99 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
40.1%

Draw
29%

Znicz Pruszków
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Znicz (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Znicz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 2. Mis K. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 14. Jakubik D. 10. Drag M. 31. Dzieciol E. (C) 39. Rosolek M. 13. Podlinski K. 11. Famulak M. 29. Niezgoda J.	12. Misztal P. (G) 6. Pawlik M. 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 7. Sokol D. 20. Borecki M. 80. Plewka P. 8. Proczek T. 30. Yuzvak A. 9. Majewski R. (C) 29. Bak D.
Substitutes
56. Demianiuk C. 22. Klimek P. 26. Kolodziejski M. 41. Pakulski D. 16. Poczobut B. 7. Szuprytowski D. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J. 95. Zielonka N.	10. Ciepiela B. 19. Karol M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 11. Moskwik P. 53. Nadolski A. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Struhar P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Pawlik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Niezgoda J. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
59', Pawlik M. ↓, Okhronchuk V. ↑,
68', Borecki M. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
68', Bak D. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
69', Drag M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
69', Famulak M. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
72', Jach J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Podlinski K. ⚽, Poczobut B. (A),
78', Podlinski K. 🟨,
80', Proczek T. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
80', Yuzvak A. ↓, Moskwik P. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 3.

Pogoń Siedlce has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Znicz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pogoń Siedlce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pruszkow: 11.59% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
06.03.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTWL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
08.03.26	Znicz Pruszków - Odra Opole	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Znicz Pruszków - Wieczysta Kraków	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.01.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2
Polish Division 1
12.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
28.09.24	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
01.07.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	2:0

Upcoming Matches