Match Info

POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Szczecinie (Szczecin)


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.2
				Watch
	2.83	3.38	2.3
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.84	3.46	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (4.4)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	2.27 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
33%

Draw
26.8%

Polonia Bytom
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.8%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24.9%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin II's performance.

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Bytom might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Szczecin II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Bytom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Bak M. 2. Fornalik D. 9. Fraczczak A. 6. Golebiewski K. 4. Goral J. 3. Hyl G. 10. Jakubczyk K. 7. Kroczek D. 8. Starzycki B. 5. Urbaniak B.	39. Mirus E. (G) 22. Bedronka M. 24. Budzik D. 18. Gajda T. 8. Jopek S. 26. Lawrynowicz I. 30. Radkiewicz N. 6. Scislak D. 16. Stefanski P. (C) 19. Wolny D. 7. Zielinski L.
Substitutes
. Broniewski M. 20. Chrominski K. 12. Ciechomski K. (G) 19. Doustali M. A. 13. Freilich B. . Jakubowski R. 15. Leszczynski M. . Rutowski K. 17. Szeibe M.	11. Andrzejczak K. 33. Hajduk K. (G) 15. Krzemien D. 21. Mlynarczyk M. 28. Ochwat G. 29. Piekarski A. 9. Ropski K. 2. Szmigiel M. 20. Zejdler L.

Preview

Pogoń Szczecin II is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Polonia Bytom is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:4 ✺
27.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTWW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
24.09.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Polonia Bytom - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Wisła Puławy - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Bytom	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTTL

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