Match Info

Division 2 - Round 26

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.33
	1.56	4.2	4.6
	1.62	4.21	4.71	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.66	4.27	4.27	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)	3.98 ↓ (4.46)	4.45 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
56.4%

Draw
23%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zagłębie Sosnowiec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 5. Dias M. 16. Gajgier A. 10. Jaron D. (C) 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. 15. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K. 23. Sommerfeld K.	87. Siuta K. (G) 22. Acosta M. 21. Agbor E. 9. Bilinski K. (C) 2. Bykov O. 23. Checinski B. 3. Janiszewski G. 20. Pawlusinski M. 92. Rakels D. 17. Valencia J. 16. Wasiluk B.
Substitutes
8. Bahonko E. 2. Farbiszewski B. 24. Gulczynski G. . Kolak S. 4. Korczakowski I. 17. Niewiadomski J. 26. Piwowarczyk J. 6. Skowronski G. 98. Szpaderski J. (G)	33. Kos M. (G) 4. Kurtovic R. 8. Marciniec P. . Mielczarek P. 10. Mularczyk P. 11. Snopczynski B. 13. Sukhotskyi A. 80. Uchnast L. 7. Zalewski S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
37', Wasiluk B. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Checinski B. (Own goal),
42', Apolinarski J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Wasiluk B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Acosta M. 🟨,
61', Jaron D. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Noiszewski K. ⚽,
62', Rakels D. ↓, Mielczarek P. ↑,
66', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
67', Sommerfeld K. 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Apolinarski J. ⚽,
75', Bilinski K. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
84', Checinski B. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Snopczynski B. (Pen),

Preview

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Grodzisk Mazowiecki to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
06.04.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Wisła Puławy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
05.04.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4 ✺
22.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6

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