The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 34.8%
Draw 26.5%
Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
25.2%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
23.9%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's form might have worsened.
Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nowe Skalmierzyce will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Mikulski M. 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1.
Nowe Skalmierzyce is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stargard's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Blekitni Stargard
11
5
3
3
27:19
8
18
Last Results with these Odds
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.