Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 (3.6)	3.6 (3.6)	1.74 (1.74)

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
24.6%

Draw
24.6%

Lipno Stęszew
50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lipno Stęszew have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Lipno Stęszew is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.04.26	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:3 ✺
25.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 LWTWW
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lipno Stęszew	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Elana Toruń - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1

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