Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 17

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Unia Solec Kujawski

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Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
63.5%

Draw
19.3%

Unia Solec Kujawski
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

12.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Unia Solec Kujawski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Solec Kujawski than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Solec Kujawski has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Solec Kujawski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.11.23	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	5:2 ✺
28.10.23	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Gedania Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTLL
- Unia Solec Kujawski
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.11.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Starogard Gdański	3:3 ✺
03.11.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Solec Kujawski	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:6 ✺
21.10.23	Unia Swarzędz - Unia Solec Kujawski	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.05.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
08.10.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Unia Solec Kujawski	1:2

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Unia Solec Kujawski