Match Info

Division 1 - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	15:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Chrobry Głogów		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	2.88
	2.20	3.40	2.87
	2.08	3.30	2.95
	2.23	3.52	3.19
	2.21	3.51	3.07	Watch
	2.18	3.45	3.15
	2.25	3.45	3.00	Watch
	2.20	3.35	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.32)	3.41 ↑ (3.27)	3 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
42.2%

Draw
27.1%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4%)

Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bakowski K. (G) 80. Tabis K. 8. Gric J. 21. Kozajda M. 77. Bartolewski M. 5. Bak R. 24. Grzelak K. 10. Sharabura Y. 47. Klimek A. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 11. Strozik S.	1. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 3. Dembek B. 17. Niewiadomski J. 42. Zbrog J. 14. Uzoigwe H. 23. Ciepiela B. 21. Los K. 27. Konstantyn J. 9. Majewski R. 20. Oshafi A.
Substitutes
33. Bukowski A. 6. Czajka B. 19. Lachendro F. 9. Ozimek M. 51. Rybak A. 17. Sadiku A. 18. Simkov T. 1. Wroblewski K. (G) 44. Zabrowarny F.	25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 11. Kargulewicz K. 99. Koprowski O. 6. Krupa J. 15. Niski N. 4. Ruszkiewicz M. 19. Turski H.
Coaches
Becella L.	Kafarski T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Oshafi A. ⚽, Uzoigwe H. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Ciepiela B. ⚽, Zbrog J. (A),
43', 0 - 3, Los K. ⚽, Zbrog J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tabis K. ↓, Czajka B. ↑,
46', Bak R. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
62', Oshafi A. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
62', Majewski R. ↓, Turski H. ↑,
62', Klimek A. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Jaron D. ⚽, Turski H. (A),
72', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Ozimek M. ↑,
75', Ciepiela B. ↓, Ruszkiewicz M. ↑,
75', Zbrog J. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
80', Konstantyn J. ↓, Koprowski O. ↑,
80', Grzelak K. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,
83', Jaron D. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Chrobry may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Chrobry is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chrobry has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chrobry against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Chrobry Glogow	12	3	4	5	13:15	-2	13

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Chrobry Glogow: 0.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTTW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	7:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0
23.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Chrobry Głogów	1:1

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