Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)


	Pogoń Siedlce		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.17	3.25	2.95
	2.32	3.39	2.9
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.12	3.1	3.19	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.26)	3.23 ↑ (3.23)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
41.9%

Draw
28%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Pogoń Siedlce aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Pogoń Siedlce - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pogoń Siedlce will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
08.10.22	Hutnik - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0 ✺
05.10.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Puławy	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	3:4 ✺
11.09.22	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTLL
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 2
08.10.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polkowice	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
28.04.19	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1
13.10.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:1
Polish Division 2 - East
01.06.14	Pogoń Siedlce - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1

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