Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.86	3.49	3.93
	1.86	3.49	3.93
	1.7	3.5	3.75
	1.81	3.48	3.82	Watch
	1.84	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.15)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
50.4%

Draw
26.1%

Pogoń Siedlce
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chojniczanka Chojnice's performance.

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chojniczanka Chojnice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Primel D. (G) 8. Boczek T. (C) 14. Edmundsson A. 11. Firmino A. 79. Kozina M. 34. Nowacki D. 6. Paprzycki O. 77. Pralat A. 26. Raburski C. 10. Szumilas W. 54. Szymusik G.	1. Burek J. (G) 14. Burka D. 56. Demianiuk C. 23. Derlatka H. 31. Dzieciol E. 43. Hrnciar L. 4. Misiak P. 9. Nowak D. 18. Pyrdol P. 16. Sinior J. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C)
Substitutes
80. Banach D. 16. Borysiuk A. 4. Golak S. 98. Kolesar P. 91. Korczyc K. 17. Mikolajczak T. 33. Szablowski S. (G) 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Szczytniewski S.	29. Babor D. 20. Bujalski C. 97. Kowynia J. (G) 2. Lewandowski T. 21. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 10. Mis K. 26. Okusami J. 99. Wicenciak B.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chojniczanka won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Chojniczanka is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Chojniczanka won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Chojniczanka won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
28.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
18.10.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTWW
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 2
29.10.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Radunia Stężyca - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
31.08.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1
Polish Division 2
09.04.22	Pogoń Siedlce - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0
26.09.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0
07.03.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:2
28.08.20	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Siedlce	4:2
Polish Division 1
13.05.18	Pogoń Siedlce - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2
21.10.17	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2

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