Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.32	3.34	2.1
	3.2	3	2.05
	3.22	3.44	2.06	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (6.25)	3.3 ↓ (4.5)	2.11 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
28.9%

Draw
27.8%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.2%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

21.3%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie 2 Lubin's performance.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kotwica Kołobrzeg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagłębie 2 Lubin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kotwica Kołobrzeg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weirauch S. (G) 8. Dudzinski D. 7. Gaprindashvili T. 4. Jach J. 6. Kizyma M. 2. Kolan J. 11. Masiak K. 5. Mata L. 10. Mroz M. 3. Sochan K. 9. Szafranek W.	12. Michalski K. (G) 11. Kaczmarek T. 6. Kort K. 7. Kosakiewicz L. 9. Kozlowski F. 99. Nowak O. 4. Polak C. 52. Rzezniczak J. 16. Soljic J. (C) 14. Stasiak A. 66. Witasik P.
Substitutes
20. Gruszecki D. 15. Karasinski S. 19. Kruszelnicki P. 17. Kusztal P. 13. Lipp M. 12. Matys M. (G) 14. Orlikowski I. 18. Popielec C. 16. Terlecki K.	94. Abbott Z. 10. Cywinski M. 39. Jonathan Junior 88. Koziol M. (G) 77. Madembo T. 24. Oliveira F. 5. Pytlewski P. 2. Skowronek M.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 12).

Zagłębie 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kotwica Kołobrzeg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
16.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Chrobry Głogów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.09.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLWW
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 2
16.09.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Skra Częstochowa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
02.08.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1
Polish Division 2
15.04.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1
10.09.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0

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