Match Info

WORLD: FRIENDLY INTERNATIONAL

Date: 16 June 2023, Friday

Location: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	V Sport
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Poland		Germany

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.67
	4.33	3.9	1.7
	5.1	4.25	1.65
	4.81	4.09	1.73
	4.33	3.7	1.62
	4.55	4.1	1.7	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.5)	3.99 ↑ (3.6)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
20.5%

Draw
23.6%

Germany
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.3%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	14.7%	79.4%

Poland - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: Germany will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szczesny W. (G) 4. Kedziora T. 5. Bednarek J. 14. Kiwior J. 18. Bereszynski B. 16. Blaszczykowski J. (C) 17. Szymanski D. 10. Szymanski S. 20. Zielinski P. 13. Kaminski J. 9. Lewandowski R.	1. ter Stegen M. (G) 5. Kehrer T. 26. Thiaw M. 2. Rudiger A. 18. Hofmann J. 23. Can E. 13. Henrichs B. 24. Wirtz F. 6. Kimmich J. 14. Musiala J. 7. Havertz K.
Substitutes
6. Bielik K. 22. Dragowski B. (G) 19. Frankowski P. 24. Lederman B. 25. Legowski M. 8. Linetty K. 7. Milik A. 15. Skoras M. 12. Skorupski L. (G) 23. Slisz B. 11. Swiderski K. 3. Wieteska M. 2. Wisniewski P. 21. Zalewski N.	17. Brandt J. 9. Fullkrug N. 4. Ginter M. 8. Goretzka L. 20. Gosens R. 21. Gundogan I. 22. Leno B. (G) 3. Raum D. 19. Sane L. 15. Schlotterbeck N. 12. Trapp K. (G) 25. Wolf M.
Coaches
Santos F.	Flick H.

Preview

Poland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Germany is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Poland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland
UEFA Euro
27.03.23	Poland - Albania	1:0 ✺
24.03.23	Czech Republic - Poland	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
04.12.22	France - Poland	3:1 ✺
30.11.22	Poland - Argentina	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Poland - Saudi Arabia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW
- Germany
Friendly
12.06.23	Germany - Ukraine	3:3 ✺
28.03.23	Germany - Belgium	2:3 ✺
25.03.23	Germany - Peru	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
01.12.22	Costa Rica - Germany	2:4 ✺
27.11.22	Spain - Germany	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
16.06.16	Germany - Poland	0:0
04.09.15	Germany - Poland	3:1
11.10.14	Poland - Germany	2:0
Friendly
13.05.14	Germany - Poland	0:0

Poland - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide