Match Info
Premier League - Round 15Date: 31 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Hamz Stadium (Kampala)
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Uganda Revenue Authority SC |
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Police |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.1 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.16 |
3.11 |
3.12 |
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 |
2.35 |
3.04 |
2.96 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.8 |
3 |
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2.31 |
3.34 |
2.88 |
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2.1 |
3.1 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.62) |
3.08 ↑
(3.07) |
2.97 ↑
(2.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
40.4% | Draw
29.3% | Police
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uganda Revenue Authority SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uganda Revenue Authority SC's performance.Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uganda Revenue Authority SC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).Recent form of URA SC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Police is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URA SC won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, URA SC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
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| 14 | URA SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 25.04.25 | Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 2:0 | | 07.01.25 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 1:0 | | 30.11.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 0:0 | | 15.05.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Police | 3:1 | | 09.03.21 | Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:2 |
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