Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Police FC		Nzoia United

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	4.8
	1.66	3.38	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	4.94 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
55.2%

Draw
26.7%

Nzoia United
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

27.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Nzoia United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nzoia United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Recent matches Police FC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nzoia United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Police FC is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Police FC won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Police FC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.24	Bidco United - Police FC	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	3:0 ✺
20.12.23	Tusker - Police FC	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Police FC - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
11.12.23	Muhoroni Youth - Police FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLT
- Nzoia United
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.24	Nzoia United - Shabana	2:5 ✺
06.01.24	Bandari - Nzoia United	1:0 ✺
21.12.23	Kenya CB - Nzoia United	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Nzoia United - Tusker	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Gor Mahia - Nzoia United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.11.23	Nzoia United - Police FC	1:3
16.03.23	Nzoia United - Police FC	2:2
22.01.23	Police FC - Nzoia United	2:0
08.05.22	Nzoia United - Police FC	0:0
20.10.21	Police FC - Nzoia United	3:1

Police FC - Nzoia United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide