Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Police Tero		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.35	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.72	2.71
	2.45	3.72	2.72
	2.25	3.5	2.5
	2.35	3.55	2.67	Watch
	2.36	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.01)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)	2.6 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police Tero
38.9%

Draw
25.7%

Sukhothai
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

24.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police Tero's form might have worsened.

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police Tero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Police Tero - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Makthuam N. (G) 6. Wellington 35. Honey I. 30. Creevey M. 2. Samre E. 42. Panthong S. 8. Churok T. 13. Bueraheng A. 18. Namphueng S. 9. Jeong W. 77. Babo M. L.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 3. Laercio 15. Promsupa S. 13. Lajungreed P. 45. Jantrapho A. 7. Thiamrat L. 6. Wechpirom J. 11. Kasemkulwirai K. 10. Baggio J. 9. Bonilla N.
Substitutes
15. Buangam C. 19. Chaowana Y. 27. Darbellay D. 7. Munsuwan N. 24. Nasri S. (G) 11. Phokhi J. 3. Phumipha E. A. 23. Sosungnoen A. 32. Villanueva D.	17. Chamnarnsilp S. 56. Chittabut S. 30. Kaewnongdang K. 4. Kanlayanabandit S. 19. Ngrnbukkol A. 31. Pisansub S. (G) 91. Polmart J. 22. Sapysakunphon C. 29. Suksakit P.
Coaches
Srimaka W.	Kambe S.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 2.

Recent matches Police Tero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sukhothai is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Police Tero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Police Tero won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Police Tero won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police Tero
Thai League 1
11.12.23	Chiangrai United - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
06.12.23	Songkhla - Police Tero	5:2 ✺
Thai League 1
02.12.23	Police Tero - Trat	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Uthai Thani - Police Tero	0:1 ✺
06.11.23	Police Tero - Lamphun Warriors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWT
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
12.12.23	Sukhothai - Muangthong United	1:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
06.12.23	Prime Bangkok - Sukhothai	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
01.12.23	Uthai Thani - Sukhothai	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Sukhothai - Prachuap	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Sukhothai - Chonburi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
08.04.23	Police Tero - Sukhothai	2:2
05.11.22	Sukhothai - Police Tero	1:0
24.02.21	Police Tero - Sukhothai	2:0
03.10.20	Sukhothai - Police Tero	1:1
05.09.18	Sukhothai - Police Tero	1:2
22.04.18	Police Tero - Sukhothai	2:1
22.10.17	Police Tero - Sukhothai	1:1

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