Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Sukhothai		Chonburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.25	2.92	Watch
	2.21	3.5	3.04
	2.18	3.43	2.96	Watch
	2.22	3.22	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	2.97 (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
41.7%

Draw
27.4%

Chonburi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Chonburi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Sukhothai - Chonburi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Chonburi (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chonburi (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 25. Otton C. 8. Aranpiroj R. 70. Mateusinho 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S.	1. Mendoza K. (G) 23. Channgom S. 37. Sayriya N. 47. Jorge Fellipe 4. Sansanit K. 30. Biesamrit N. 31. Seaisakul P. 10. Promsrikaew C. (C) 7. Houla G. 99. van Lingen O. 17. Bolingi J.
Substitutes
21. Denman A. 9. Elias 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 23. Kamnet N. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 2. Logarwit S. 19. Phatthaphon P. 91. Phranmaen T. 37. Promorn N. 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.	20. Bunta S. 11. Eisa A. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 97. Kesada R. 2. Kike Linares 9. Kraisorn A. 32. Moraksa R. 36. Sujarit T. 14. Tabinas J. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 6. Thongcham S. 21. Wandee S.
Coaches
Chalitaporn A.	Viwatchaichok R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Baggio J. ⚽, Mateusinho (A),
18', Promsrikaew C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', van Lingen O. ↓, Kraisorn A. ↑,
57', Seaisakul P. ↓, Moraksa R. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Romeu ⚽, Chatthong S. (A),
65', 2 - 1, Houla G. ⚽,
67', Sansanit K. ↓, Tabinas J. ↑,
67', Biesamrit N. ↓, Eisa A. ↑,
77', Mateusinho ↓, Denman A. ↑,
77', Chatthong S. ↓, Elias ↑,
82', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Thiamrat L. ↑,
84', Channgom S. ↓, Sujarit T. ↑,
90+5', Baggio J. ↓, Logarwit S. ↑,
90+5', Thumporn T. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,
90+6', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sukhothai will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
08.11.25	Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Sukhothai - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWTT
- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
09.11.25	Chonburi - Buriram United	4:2 ✺
02.11.25	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Chonburi	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Uthai Thani - Chonburi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
25.02.24	Chonburi - Sukhothai	3:1
10.11.23	Sukhothai - Chonburi	3:2
04.04.23	Sukhothai - Chonburi	1:0
29.10.22	Chonburi - Sukhothai	1:1
20.03.21	Chonburi - Sukhothai	0:0
18.12.20	Sukhothai - Chonburi	1:2
03.08.19	Chonburi - Sukhothai	2:2

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