Match Info

TANZANIA: LIGI KUU BARA - ROUND 22

Date: 6 February 2023, Monday


	Polisi Tanzania		Kagera Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.6	3.1
	2.55	2.6	2.9
	2.57	2.35	3.69
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.46	2.43	3.58
	2.46	2.65	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)	2.57 ↓ (2.64)	3.21 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisi Tanzania
36.4%

Draw
35.3%

Kagera Sugar
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

34.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisi Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Polisi Tanzania - Kagera Sugar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Polisi Tanzania will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kagera Sugar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Polisi Tanzania is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kagera Sugar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polisi Tanzania won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Polisi Tanzania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
20.01.23	Geita Gold - Polisi Tanzania	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Namungo - Polisi Tanzania	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Polisi Tanzania - Ruvu Shooting	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Polisi Tanzania - Coastal Union	3:3 ✺
22.12.22	Kinondoni MC - Polisi Tanzania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWTTL
- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.01.23	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
17.01.23	Singida Fountain Gate - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Dodoma Jiji - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
25.12.22	Kagera Sugar - Geita Gold	2:2 ✺
21.12.22	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
08.10.22	Kagera Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	2:0
29.06.22	Kagera Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	0:0
19.02.22	Polisi Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	0:0
15.07.21	Polisi Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	0:1
18.07.20	Kagera Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	1:2

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