Match Info
Ekstraklasa - Round 4Date: 16 August 2026, SundayLocation: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)
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Jagiellonia Białystok |
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Pogoń Szczecin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.20 |
3.55 |
3.05 |
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2.27 |
3.36 |
3.15 |
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2.32 |
3.7 |
2.88 |
Watch |
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2.18 |
3.35 |
2.9 |
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2.22 |
3.35 |
3.20 |
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2.21 |
3.45 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.22) |
3.46 ↑
(3.34) |
3.03 ↓
(3.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jagiellonia Białystok
42% | Draw
27.1% | Pogoń Szczecin
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-2%)Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Postponed due to european competitions.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2.Jagiellonia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Jagiellonia could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Pogon Szczecin: 5.63% Jagiellonia: 3.94%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
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| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.87%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Polish Ekstraklasa | | | 09.05.26 | Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin | 3:2 | | 09.11.25 | Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok | 1:2 | | 24.05.25 | Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin | 1:1 | | 01.12.24 | Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok | 1:1 | | 26.04.24 | Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin | 2:2 | | Polish Cup | | | 03.04.24 | Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok | 2:1 ET | | Polish Ekstraklasa | | | 28.10.23 | Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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