The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polkowice 26.5%
Draw 27.9%
Korona Kielce 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
29.4%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
21.4%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Korona Kielce's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Polkowice - Korona Kielce Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Polkowice has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Korona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Polkowice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.