Match Info

Division 2 - Round 24

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Bytom		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.5
	1.41	4.38	7.7	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.39	6.79	Watch
	1.37	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.44 ↓ (4.5)	6.9 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
66.1%

Draw
20.6%

Swit Skolwin
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Polonia Bytom - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 26. Barczak N. 25. Konieczny D. 30. Krzyzak O. 8. Labojko M. 29. Piekarski A. 19. Sarmiento J. 17. Steblecki S. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.	76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 80. Aftyka G. 5. Goral J. 13. Kapelusz S. 8. Koziara M. 23. Nowicki S. 32. Obst R. 3. Remisz R. 9. Ropski K. 6. Straus J. 15. Wojdak K. (C)
Substitutes
23. Arak J. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 3. Michalski S. 6. Scislak D. 16. Stefanski P. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 22. Tomaszewski B. 28. Wypart O.	20. Ciechanowski D. 18. Fornalik D. 21. Janiszewski K. 14. Kalenik O. 17. Kasprzak B. 19. Kisly D. 10. Kort D. . Michalski K. (G) 11. Nowak K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Straus J. ⚽,
14', Konieczny D. 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Kapelusz S. ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
23', Goral J. 🟨,
28', Labojko M. 🟨,
30', Nowicki S. 🟨,
39', Holewinski A. 🟨,
39', Straus J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 3, Aftyka G. ⚽,
42', Piekarski A. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 3, Wojtyra K. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Goral J. ↓, Fornalik D. ↑,
46', Nowicki S. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
55', Krzyzak O. 🟨,
55', Wojtyra K. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
56', Koziara M. 🟨,
58', Fornalik D. 🟨,
59', Kapelusz S. ↓, Kasprzak B. ↑,
63', 3 - 3, Andrzejczak K. ⚽,
65', Barczak N. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
66', Sarmiento J. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
66', Aftyka G. ↓, Kort D. ↑,
74', 4 - 3, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽,
75', Labojko M. ↓, Szymusik G. ↑,
76', Zielinski L. ↓, Scislak D. ↑,
85', 4 - 4, Koziara M. ⚽,
90+2', Koziara M. ↓, Janiszewski K. ↑,
90+4', 5 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Polonia Bytom in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Swit Skolwin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swit Skolwin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Polonia Bytom have a series of home games.

In this match Polonia Bytom is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Polonia Bytom to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Club Friendly
19.03.25	Polonia Bytom - Raków Częstochowa II	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
16.03.25	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Polonia Bytom - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Polonia Bytom - Legia II	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 2
22.03.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Swit Skolwin	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Swit Skolwin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
31.08.24	Swit Skolwin - Polonia Bytom	0:1
Polish Cup
17.07.16	Swit Skolwin - Polonia Bytom	0:1 penalties

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