Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Polonia Bytom		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.55	3.4	2.45
	2.72	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.82	3.38	2.53
	2.8	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.67	3.18	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	2.46 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
34%

Draw
28.5%

Śląsk Wrocław
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Polonia Bytom - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 77. Szymanski J. 5. Matic M. 10. Michalski K. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. (C) 16. Stefanski P. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 11. Andrzejczak K. 9. Wojtyra K.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 27. Rosiak M. 15. Yriarte J. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 14. Mokrzycki M. 16. Kurowski K. 11. Marjanac L. 91. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
13. Azatsky O. 4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 30. Krzyzak O. 20. Labedzki J. 21. Lukowski J. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 7. Zielinski L.	77. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 10. Jambor T. 47. Klimek A. 8. Llinares M. 38. Markowski D. 24. Sharabura Y. 26. Wojtczak O.
Coaches
Mroz W.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Ba L. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Gajda T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', Stefanski P. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Banaszak P. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Rosiak M. ⚽, Ba L. (A),
63', Szymusik G. 🟨,
70', Michalski K. ↓, Krzyzak O. ↑,
70', Wojtyra K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Banaszak P. ⚽,
76', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Markowski D. ↑,
79', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Labedzki J. ↑,
82', Marjanac L. ↓, Jambor T. ↑,
90', Rosiak M. ↓, Llinares M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

In recent matches, Polonia Bytom has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Śląsk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia Bytom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Polonia Bytom has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia Bytom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Bytom - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.24%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
09.05.26	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Bytom	1:4 ✺
04.05.26	Polonia Bytom - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Odra Opole - Polonia Bytom	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
11.05.26	Śląsk Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik Łęczna - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
25.04.26	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Znicz Pruszków	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.11.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	2:3

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