Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Krumplewski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.35
	2.37	3.4	2.6
	2.68	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.76	3.61	2.51
	2.63	3.39	2.57	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.3
	2.77	3.48	2.38	Watch
	2.55	3.08	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
35.1%

Draw
27.2%

Polonia Bytom
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 30. Yuzvak A. 7. Sokol D. 10. Ciepiela B. 20. Borecki M. 9. Majewski R. 22. Tabara K. 29. Bak D.	1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 77. Szymanski J. 5. Matic M. 10. Michalski K. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 16. Stefanski P. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 9. Wojtyra K. 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
3. Bartoszewicz A. 17. Kazimierczak A. 11. Moskwik P. 53. Nadolski A. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 8. Proczek T. 35. Redlinski A.	13. Azatsky O. 4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 30. Krzyzak O. 20. Labedzki J. 21. Lukowski J. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 7. Zielinski L.
Coaches
Smolarow L.	Mroz W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Stefanski P. ⚽,
38', Jach J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 0 - 2, Andrzejczak K. ⚽,
55', Stefanski P. 🟨,
58', Okhronchuk V. ↓, Bartoszewicz A. ↑,
58', Bak D. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽, Szymusik G. (A),
61', Stefanski P. ↓, Zielinski L. ↑,
68', 0 - 4, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽,
71', Ciepiela B. ↓, Redlinski A. ↑,
75', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Labedzki J. ↑,
75', Michalski K. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
75', Gajda T. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
76', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
82', Borecki M. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
90+1', Szymanski J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 4, Sokol D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Polonia Bytom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Znicz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pruszkow: 11.59% Polonia Bytom: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14:17	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Bytom - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 36.57%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
01.05.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Znicz Pruszków	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Tychy - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTLW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
04.05.26	Polonia Bytom - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Odra Opole - Polonia Bytom	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
Polish Division 2
02.04.16	Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków	1:4
05.09.15	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Bytom	3:0

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