Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.16	3.55	2.85
	2.13	3.63	2.92
	2.25	3.44	2.77	Watch
	2.16	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.95)	3.51 ↓ (3.8)	2.83 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
41.9%

Draw
25.9%

GKS Bełchatów
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

24%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

23.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński's performance.

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Bełchatów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Bełchatów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Cherniy K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Pytlewski P. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Wronski L. ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, Kwaczreliszwili S. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Krasa K. ⚽,
90', 3 - 3, Morawski A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.09.24	Legia II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
30.08.24	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mławianka Mława	2:4 ✺
21.08.24	Wikielec - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLTW
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - GKS Bełchatów	0:3 ✺
21.08.24	GKS Bełchatów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	GKS Bełchatów - Victoria Sulejówek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL

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