Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		ŁKS Łódź II

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	1.98
	2.62	3.4	2.22
	2.44	3.57	2.37
	3.32	3.87	1.88	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.3
	2.52	3.7	2.42	Watch
	2.34	3.41	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.34)	3.56 ↑ (3.41)	2.23 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
34%

Draw
25.4%

ŁKS Łódź II
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

25.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ŁKS Łódź II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź II than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - ŁKS Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kozera D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Maciazek R. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Balut A. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 13th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Lidzbark Warmiński could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Lidzbark Warminski	14	4	3	7	24:27	-3	15
14	LKS Lodz II	14	4	3	7	24:28	-4	15

Last Results with these Odds

ŁKS Łódź II - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.26	Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - ŁKS Łomża	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Weszło	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTL
- ŁKS Łódź II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
14.10.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:7 ✺
26.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łódź II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWTW

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