Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		Weszło

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.50	1.71
	3.5	3.45	1.82
	3.13	3.65	1.93
	3.82	3.98	1.73	Watch
	3.05	3.6	1.9
	3.49	3.58	1.84	Watch
	4.6	4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.6)	3.68 ↓ (4)	1.78 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
24.8%

Draw
24.5%

Weszło
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

22.1%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.2%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński's performance.

Weszło has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weszło might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weszło than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weszło could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Weszło Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion ~ Division 2).

Lidzbark Warmiński is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Weszło is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Weszło for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Weszlo	11	8	2	1	24:10	14	26
16	Lidzbark Warminski	11	2	3	6	16:22	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWTL
- KTS Weszło
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.26	Weszło - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Weszło	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Weszło - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Troszyn - Weszło	3:3 ✺
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTW

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