Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Warsaw		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.41	3.55	2.11
	3.38	3.43	2.09	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.27	3.5	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.47 ↓ (3.59)	2.07 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
28.3%

Draw
26.8%

Termalica Nieciecza
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

26.2%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 37. Zawistowski N. 4. Szur P. 2. Grudniewski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 8. Wojciechowski O. 16. Koton K. (C) 55. Poczobut B. 22. Olszewski P. 9. Zjawinski L. 24. Terpilowski E.	1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 23. Spendlhofer L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 6. Wolski M. 86. Strzalek I. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 10. Karasek K. 25. Zapolnik K.
Substitutes
10. Bajdur M. 1. Brudnicki M. (G) 99. Durmus I. 13. Grzelczak A. 7. Kluska M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 6. Piatek J. 17. Predenkiewicz M. 23. Xabi Auzmendi	18. Farbiszewski B. 7. Fassbender M. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 22. Mrosek N. 90. Nowakowski J. 80. Rozycki J. 53. Trubeha A. 17. Zaviyskyi T.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Zaviyskyi T. ↑,
49', Poczobut B. 🟨,
56', Strzalek I. ↓, Mrosek N. ↑,
64', Olszewski P. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Ambrosiewicz M. ⚽,
69', Karasek K. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
69', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
69', Olszewski P. ↓, Xabi Auzmendi ↑,
70', Isik G. 🟨,
77', Koton K. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
77', Terpilowski E. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
79', Zaviyskyi T. 🟨,
81', Dombrovskiy A. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
81', Zapolnik K. ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
86', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
90+3', Szur P. 🟨,

Preview

Polonia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Termalica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Termalica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Termalica have a series of home games.

Termalica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Polonia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	2:4 ✺
14.09.24	Polonia Warsaw - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Chrobry Głogów - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
23.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Stal Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
01.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
05.05.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	2:2
04.11.23	Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1

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