Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.15	8.6
	1.23	5.9	11.29
	1.24	6.16	13.83	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9.5
	1.32	4.8	9.3	Watch
	1.16	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.25)	5.42 ↓ (6.04)	10.92 ↓ (11.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
74.1%

Draw
17.3%

Karpaty Lviv
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

15.7%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Karpaty (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 29. Nazaryna Y. 10. Pedrinho 21. Bondarenko A. 6. Marlon Gomes 7. Eguinaldo 49. Luca Meirelles	1. Domchak N. (G) 77. Sych O. 47. Jean Pedroso 4. Baboglo V. (C) 73. Lyakh R. 35. Edson Fernando 10. Stenio 8. Chachua A. 17. Fedor O. 26. Kostenko Y. 99. Faal B.
Substitutes
30. Alisson 16. Azarovi I. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 14. Isaque Silva 26. Konoplya Y. 8. Kryskiv D. 37. Lucas Ferreira 4. Marlon 27. Ocheretko O. 9. Shved M. 2. Traore L.	70. Alkain X. 37. Bruninho 18. Eriki 19. Karabin Y. 44. Kholod V. 30. Klishchuk A. (G) 14. Kvasnytsya I. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 80. Mysak R. (G) 7. Paulo V. 63. Sapuga M. 33. Shakh A.
Coaches
Turan A.	Fernandez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Eguinaldo ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
55', Bondarenko A. ↓, Alisson ↑,
60', Fedor O. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
65', Luca Meirelles ↓, Traore L. ↑,
65', Tobias V. ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Traore L. ⚽, Alisson (A),
71', 2 - 0, Traore L. ⚽, Alisson (A),
77', Kostenko Y. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
77', Edson Fernando ↓, Sapuga M. ↑,
77', Stenio ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
77', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Traore L. ⚽, Isaque Silva (A),
85', Pedrinho ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
87', Chachua A. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Arena Lviv.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 3.

Karpaty is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Karpaty has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shakhtar is the clear favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:16. (average 2.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:5. (average 3.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15:4	11	18
3	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15:5	10	14

Last Results with these Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 75.85%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dila Gori	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLTW
- Karpaty Lviv
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Karpaty Lviv - Stjarnan	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Karpaty Lviv - GAIS	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Karpaty Lviv - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Karpaty Lviv - OB Odense	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Karpaty Lviv - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3
11.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0
14.09.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	5:2
02.11.19	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3
04.08.19	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	3:0
10.03.19	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	5:0
28.09.18	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:6

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