Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 6

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Lokomotyv Stadium (Poltava)


	Poltava		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.50	3.75
	1.8	3.5	3.85
	1.74	3.54	3.71
	1.81	3.59	3.9	Watch
	1.8	3.52	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	3.53 ↓ (3.58)	3.81 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
50.7%

Draw
25.6%

Inhulets
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Poltava - Inhulets Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Poltava will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minchev M. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 11. Kasimov D. 17. Kobzar B. 2. Kononov M. 8. Odaryuk V. 22. Prikhna D. 10. Sad V. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 33. Veremiyenko O.	24. Slutskyi O. (G) 8. Benedyuk A. 5. Dankovskyi Y. 4. Dubiley V. 17. Khussin T. 2. Malysh S. (C) 14. Prykhodko N. 30. Tuzenko D. 10. Ursolov S. 22. Yanyuk D. 78. Yevtushenko O.
Substitutes
28. Blagodarnyi D. 7. Galenkov D. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 5. Pidlepych V. 13. Savenkov A. 9. Shcherbak D. 12. Surdov O. (G) 21. Tlumak Y. 78. Ukhan I. 88. Vivdych O. 96. Yermolov D. (G)	7. Bezkleynyi D. 3. Dzyubin M. 26. Karlyuk D. (G) 9. Knyazev Y. 6. Komar O. 21. Manastyrnyi O. 59. Mogylnyi B. 25. Rozhko V. 91. Ryazantsev Y. 69. Yanovich Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Ursolov S. 🟨,
29', Ursolov S. ↓, Mogylnyi B. ↑,
29', Yevtushenko O. ↓, Yanovich Y. ↑,
36', Yanovich Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Veremiyenko O. 🟥,
65', Malysh S. 🟨,
66', Prykhodko N. ↓, Manastyrnyi O. ↑,
74', Odaryuk V. ↓, Galenkov D. ↑,
74', Kobzar B. ↓, Vivdych O. ↑,
77', Tuzenko D. ↓, Knyazev Y. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 7).

Poltava is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Inhulets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Inhulets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Poltava is a strong favorite.

We predict that Poltava will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	SC Poltava	11	5	3	3	18:10	8	18
9	Inhulets	9	4	2	3	10:11	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Poltava	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Poltava - UCSA	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Poltava	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Poltava	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTW
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.08.26	UCSA - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.26	Inhulets - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Inhulets - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.24	Inhulets - Poltava	3:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.09.23	Poltava - Inhulets	1:3
29.07.23	Inhulets - Poltava	5:0
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Inhulets - Poltava	3:1

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