Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Polvorín		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	3	2.9	2.35
	3	2.95	2.28
	3.6	2.83	2.24
	3.32	3.1	2.13
	3.05	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.79)	2.96 ↓ (3.08)	2.25 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polvorín
28.8%

Draw
30.8%

Ourense CF
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

29.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.6%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polvorín's performance.

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense CF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polvorín - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Polvorín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ourense CF in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.10.22	Burgos Promesas - Polvorín	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Polvorín - Compostela	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Marino de Luanco - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Polvorín - Rayo Cantabria	2:3 ✺
25.09.22	Laredo - Polvorín	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.10.22	Ourense CF - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Zamora - Ourense CF	2:3 ✺
08.10.22	Ourense CF - Langreo	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Real Oviedo B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Burgos Promesas - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.03.22	Polvorín - Ourense CF	1:0
25.09.21	Ourense CF - Polvorín	0:0
08.02.20	Ourense CF - Polvorín	2:1
18.04.19	Polvorín - Ourense CF	0:1

Upcoming Matches