Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Zamora		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
				Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.65
	2.04	3.14	3.73
	1.65	3.56	5.25	Watch
	1.97	3.08	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.71)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	4.01 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
47.9%

Draw
29.1%

Ourense CF
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

28%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Zamora - Ourense CF Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zamora will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamora: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Ourense CF (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Zamora (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 25%). Ourense CF (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 8. Lucero R. 4. Athuman I. 5. Ruiz E. 20. Codina M. 16. Lozano M. 6. Garcia M. 22. Sancho J. 17. Carbonell J. 7. Kike 9. Eslava J.	1. Raton A. (G) 12. Jelbat A. 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 3. Sanz H. 10. Camus M. 16. Munoz D. 24. Moreno C. 8. Ramos J. 17. Ouhdadi O. 7. Bouzaig A.
Substitutes
14. Claveria P. 18. Farrell J. 28. Hernandez H. 23. Lopez S. 3. Merchan D. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 10. Ramos C. 11. Romero Morillo A. 27. Sy M.	11. Aranzabe A. 6. Castillo N. 2. Coto E. 19. Garcia D. 20. Gueye L. 14. Perez A. 15. Piera J. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Vazquez K. 22. Yuste A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ramos J. 🟨,
38', Munoz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Sancho J. 🟨,
56', Eslava J. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
56', Garcia M. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
58', Prado M. 🟨,
60', Ramos J. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
60', Munoz D. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
70', Sancho J. ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
76', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
76', Camus M. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
82', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
86', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
90', Lozano M. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
90', Codina M. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+8', Carmona F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 1.

Zamora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ourense CF is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zamora is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Pontevedra - Zamora	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Zamora - Real Avilés	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Tenerife - Zamora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.25	Ourense CF - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.02.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0
07.10.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:3
05.03.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:1
16.10.22	Zamora - Ourense CF	2:3

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