Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Polvorín		Paiosaco

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.1
	1.83	3.11	4.08
	1.84	3.14	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.23)	3.08 ↑ (2.99)	4.15 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polvorín
49.2%

Draw
29.2%

Paiosaco
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polvorín's performance.

Paiosaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paiosaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paiosaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Polvorín is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paiosaco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polvorín will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Barbadás - Polvorín	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Polvorín - Arzúa	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Gran Peña - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Polvorín - Rápido de Bouzas	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Viveiro - Polvorín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLL
- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Paiosaco - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Paiosaco - Barbadás	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Pontevedra B - Paiosaco	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Paiosaco - Arzúa	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Bergantiños - Paiosaco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.02.21	Paiosaco - Polvorín	0:1
29.11.20	Polvorín - Paiosaco	1:0
11.01.20	Polvorín - Paiosaco	0:0
12.01.19	Paiosaco - Polvorín	1:1

Polvorín - Paiosaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide