The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 26.2%
Draw 31.2%
Rayo Vallecano 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
32.4%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.9%
20.7%
72.4%
Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 56.1% – 88.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ponferradina has a chance of relegated (31%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Recent matches Ponferradina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rayo Vallecano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.