Match Info

LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Mallorca		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.15	Watch
	2.41	3.25	3.25
	2.36	3.25	3.18	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.39	3.35	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.55)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	3.19 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
40.4%

Draw
29.6%

Rayo Vallecano
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	21.1%	15.8%

Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mallorca (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Rayo Vallecano (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 3 - 75%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 27. Lopez D. 5. Mascarell O. 22. Mojica J. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. (C) 8. Morlanes M. 20. Torre P. 15. Luvumbo Z. 7. Muriqi V.	1. Cardenas D. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 22. Pacha 4. Diaz P. 23. Valentin O. (C) 15. Gumbau G. 12. Akhomach I. 11. Nteka R. 18. Garcia A.
Substitutes
11. Asano T. 39. Garcia J. 30. Kalumba J. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 2. Morey Bauza M. 34. Olaizola J. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J.	9. Alemao 20. Balliu I. 13. Batalla A. (G) 10. Camello S. 3. Chavarria P. 6. Ciss P. 19. de Frutos J. 17. Lopez U. 5. Luiz Felipe 14. Martin C. 7. Palazon I. 8. Trejo O.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Mendy N. 🟨,
32', Lejeune F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Muriqi V. ⚽, Samu Costa (A),
40', 2 - 0, Muriqi V. ⚽, Luvumbo Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendy N. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
46', Valentin O. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
53', Nteka R. 🟨,
62', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
65', Ratiu A. 🟨,
65', 3 - 0, Virgili J. ⚽, Torre P. (A),
67', Akhomach I. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
72', Torre P. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
72', Samu Costa ↓, Kumbulla M. ↑,
77', Garcia A. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
80', Lopez D. 🟨,
81', Morlanes M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
81', Maffeo P. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
81', Nteka R. ↓, Alemao ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of home games.

Mallorca might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Mallorca: Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury) Valjent M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mendez D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Batalla A. (Muscle Injury) Perez F. (Back Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Mallorca - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.26	Mallorca - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mallorca - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Osasuna - Mallorca	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWTL
- Rayo Vallecano
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Elche	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.01.26	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	2:1
24.05.25	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	0:0
20.10.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
11.02.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
30.09.23	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	2:2
04.06.23	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0
27.08.22	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	0:2

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