Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina B		Numancia B

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.97	2.95	3.3
	1.91	3.1	3.55
	1.95	3.18	3.59
	1.95	3.18	3.68
	1.95	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.72)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	3.52 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina B
46.1%

Draw
28.4%

Numancia B
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina B's form might have worsened.

Numancia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponferradina B - Numancia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Numancia B have a series of home games.

Ponferradina B will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.11.22	Becerril - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Ponferradina B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Bembibre - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Ponferradina B - La Virgen del Camino	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Leonesa B - Ponferradina B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.11.22	Numancia B - Arandina	0:3 ✺
19.11.22	Atlético Astorga - Numancia B	4:0 ✺
05.11.22	Numancia B - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Numancia B - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Numancia B - Atlético Tordesillas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTT

Ponferradina B - Numancia B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide