Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina B		La Virgen del Camino

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.95	1.98
	3.6	3.1	2
	4.01	2.98	1.97
	4.01	2.98	1.92
	3.95	3.08	1.93
	3.6	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.58)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina B
23.9%

Draw
29.9%

La Virgen del Camino
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.8%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Ponferradina B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches La Virgen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

La Virgen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.03.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Ponferradina B	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Ponferradina B - Palencia CA	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Almazán - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ponferradina B - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL
- CD La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.03.24	La Virgen del Camino - Colegios Diocesanos	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Palencia - La Virgen del Camino	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	La Virgen del Camino - Burgos Promesas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.11.23	La Virgen del Camino - Ponferradina B	1:0
04.03.23	La Virgen del Camino - Ponferradina B	3:0
29.10.22	Ponferradina B - La Virgen del Camino	0:0

Ponferradina B - La Virgen del Camino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide