The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina B 9.4%
Draw 20.3%
Palencia CA 70.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.4%
20.1%
67.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.1%
19.7%
68.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
Ponferradina B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Palencia CA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ponferradina B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Palencia CA is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponferradina B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.