Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 12

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bruno José Daniel (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)


	Santo André		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.31	3.07	3.49
	2.31	3.07	3.49
	2.18	3.08	3.48	Watch
	2.16	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.37)	3.07 ↑ (3.01)	3.44 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
42.2%

Draw
30.5%

Ponte Preta
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Santo André - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santo André will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Junior Caicara 5. Sousa 3. Walce 6. Igor Fernandes 7. Geovane 20. Marciel 8. Dudu Vieira (C) 10. Felipe Ferreira 11. Bruno Michel 19. Lohan	1. Pedro Rocha (G) 3. Castro 23. Haquin L. 14. Luiz Felipe 2. Igor Inocencio 8. Emerson Santos 21. Ramon 33. Risso G. 10. Elvis (C) 9. Jeh 11. Iago Dias
Substitutes
22. Alexiel 21. Ariel 17. Cleo Silva 13. David Junio 16. Enzo 14. Henrique Cayres 24. Jean (G) 4. Joao Maistro 9. Leo Passos 18. Robinho 12. Wellington Santana (G) 15. Ze Mateus	18. Dudu Scheit 6. Edson 35. Gabriel Novaes 17. Gabriel Santiago 20. Joao Gabriel 25. Kaue 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 4. Mateus Silva 44. Nilson Junior 22. Paul Villero 15. Wesley Fraga
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Joao Brigatti

Preview

Santo André is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santo André won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.03.24	Corinthians - Santo André	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	São Bernardo - Santo André	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Guarani - Santo André	2:2 ✺
12.02.24	Santo André - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTLTT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.03.24	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Corinthians - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ponte Preta - Ituano	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.03.21	Ponte Preta - Santo André	0:1
23.01.20	Ponte Preta - Santo André	2:3
21.03.17	Santo André - Ponte Preta	3:3

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