Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, RedeTV!
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ponte Preta		Goiás

	1	X	2
	7.00	3.50	1.53	Watch
	5.50	3.50	1.58
	5.40	3.70	1.63	Watch
	6.11	3.78	1.64
	5.38	3.43	1.71
	5.85	3.70	1.62
	6.64	3.49	1.58	Watch
	5.60	3.50	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.94 ↑ (3.9)	3.58 ↑ (3.25)	1.62 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
15.8%

Draw
26.2%

Goiás
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

28.7%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

27.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta's form might have worsened.

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goiás's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Goiás, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Ponte Preta - Goiás Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Goiás (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Goiás will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guilherme Viana (G) 23. Palacios S. 4. Diego M. L. 3. Lucas Cunha 2. Julio 6. Juan Rodrigues 14. Danilo Barcelos (C) 32. Kevyson 10. Elvis 18. David da Hora 17. Miguel Morais	1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 2. Rodrigo Soares 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Ramon Menezes 54. Djalma Silva 5. Filipe Machado 8. Juninho (C) 21. Jean Carlos 10. Lucas Lima 40. Kadu 18. Cadu
Substitutes
8. Andre Lima 26. Baianinho 21. Brandao 13. Diego Porfirio 15. Gustavo Almeida 35. Gustavo Telles 16. Leo Gomes 7. Nicolas Araujo 90. Rodriguinho 30. Vinicius Ferrari (G)	9. Anselmo Ramon 55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 12. Ezequiel (G) 15. Garcia E. 28. Gege 77. Halerrandrio 97. Lourenco 14. Lucas Ribeiro 25. Luisao 6. Nicolas 17. Pedrinho
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Kadu ⚽, Cadu (A),
23', Palacios S. 🟨,
24', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Elvis (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 2, Kadu ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juan Rodrigues ↓, Baianinho ↑,
46', David da Hora ↓, Brandao ↑,
57', Ramon Menezes ↓, Lucas Ribeiro ↑,
58', Miguel Morais ↓, Diego Porfirio ↑,
66', Cadu (Penalty Awarded),
66', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Luisao ↑,
67', Djalma Silva ↓, Nicolas ↑,
67', Lucas Lima ↓, Lourenco ↑,
74', Diego M. L. ↓, Nicolas Araujo ↑,
82', Jean Carlos ↓, Gege ↑,
82', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
86', Julio ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1.

Ponte Preta is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Goiás has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Marcio Silva (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Souza (Injury) Thalys (Inactive)

There will not play in Goiás: Gege (Injury) Luquinhas (Inactive) Pedrinho (Inactive) Tadeu (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Murilo (Injury) Willian Pottker (Injury)

We predict that Goiás will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Last Results with these Odds

Ponte Preta - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 23.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Goiás - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.36%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
08.07.26	Ponte Preta - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Fortaleza - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Juventude - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
12.07.26	CRB Maceio - Goiás	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Goiás - Ceará	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.08.24	Ponte Preta - Goiás	1:1
28.04.24	Goiás - Ponte Preta	3:0
02.11.21	Goiás - Ponte Preta	2:2
23.07.21	Ponte Preta - Goiás	2:1
21.09.18	Goiás - Ponte Preta	2:2
05.06.18	Ponte Preta - Goiás	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
16.09.15	Goiás - Ponte Preta	1:2

Upcoming Matches