Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN


	Juventude		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.20	8.50	Watch
	1.39	4.20	7.75
	1.38	4.30	8.50	Watch
	1.40	4.46	10.13
	1.52	3.95	6.26	Watch
	1.40	4.00	8.00
	1.39	4.20	8.60	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	4.19 ↑ (3.78)	8.25 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
66.4%

Draw
22.3%

Ponte Preta
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

24.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

24%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juventude - Ponte Preta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juventude (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventude will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Aderlan 75. Rai Silva 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 10. MP 25. Alisson Safira	12. Diogo Silva (G) 22. Thalys 23. Palacios S. 4. Diego M. L. 13. Diego Porfirio 16. Leo Gomes 38. Tarik 7. Diego Tavares 10. Elvis 18. David da Hora 21. Brandao
Substitutes
17. Castro M. 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 15. Leo Indio 5. Luan Martins 44. Mandaca 22. Nathan Santos 30. Patryck 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 27. Ray Breno 3. Titi 6. Wadson	1. Guilherme Viana (G) 15. Gustavo Almeida 35. Gustavo Telles 19. Jonathan Cafu 6. Juan Rodrigues 20. Julio 32. Kevyson 2. Lucas Justen 17. Miguel Morais 90. Rodriguinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, MP ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, MP ⚽,
42', Palacios S. 🟨,
45+6', Alisson Safira (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', David da Hora ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
46', Brandao ↓, Kevyson ↑,
48', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Fabio Lima ⚽,
57', Marcos Paulo ↓, Titi ↑,
57', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
57', Thalys ↓, Julio ↑,
62', Julio 🟨,
63', Leo Gomes ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
65', Palacios S. 🟨,
67', Diogo Barbosa ↓, Patryck ↑,
67', Alisson Safira ↓, Mandaca ↑,
70', Diego Tavares ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
78', Rai Silva ↓, Ray Breno ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.

Juventude has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ponte Preta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ponte Preta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ponte Preta has had a series of home games.

In this match, Juventude is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury) Allanzinho (Inactive) Luan Martins (Inactive) Mandaca (Inactive) Pablo Roberto (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Baianinho (Red Card) Bryan Borges (Inactive) Danilo Barcelos (Yellow Cards) David Braz (Inactive) Lucas Cunha (Yellow Cards) Willian Pottker (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Juventude: MP (Inactive) Patryck (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Murilo (Injury) Rodrigo Souza (Muscle Injury) Saravia Salvia R. A. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
05.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Juventude - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Juventude - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Athletic Club - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Juventude - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLTW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
09.06.26	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	4:2 ✺
18.05.26	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.11.23	Juventude - Ponte Preta	0:0
18.07.23	Ponte Preta - Juventude	0:0
30.12.20	Juventude - Ponte Preta	2:1
03.10.20	Ponte Preta - Juventude	1:3
09.11.18	Juventude - Ponte Preta	0:1
24.07.18	Ponte Preta - Juventude	0:1

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