Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Pontedera		Como

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.6	2.7	2.7
	2.78	2.9	2.9
	2.7	2.8	2.8
	2.65	2.9	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.51)	2.87 ↓ (2.99)	2.76 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
35%

Draw
31.9%

Como
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

21.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontedera - Como Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Pontedera is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Como is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Como could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Como have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
02.12.20	Pontedera - Lucchese	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Livorno - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Pontedera - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
15.11.20	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	2:3 ✺
08.11.20	Pistoiese - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
03.12.20	Pro Sesto - Como	0:1 ✺
30.11.20	Como - Piacenza	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Como - Olbia	2:2 ✺
18.11.20	Como - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Como - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.10.19	Como - Pontedera	2:0
30.12.16	Pontedera - Como	2:2
12.10.16	Como - Pontedera	3:1

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