The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Livorno 49.5%
Draw 29.2%
Pontedera 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
25.9%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
25.1%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livorno's performance.
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Livorno - Pontedera Predictions
Users Predictions:
Livorno will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Livorno will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 49. Baldi L. 19. Antoni E. 95. Marchesi F. 28. Hamlili Z. 14. Biondi K. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 21. Perretta G. 3. Vona E. 18. Paolieri L. 14. Manfredonia M. 8. Faggi F. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Vitali P. 25. Nabian H. 9. Tarantino J.
Substitutes
44. Bonassi L. 16. Calvosa A. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 70. Cioffi A. 2. Gentile D. 15. Ghezzi S. 20. Haveri K. 11. Malva A. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)
24. Bassanini R. 33. Battimelli G. 32. Beghetto L. 22. Biagini V. (G) 27. Coviello A. 2. Giacomelli L. 6. Gueye O. 7. Migliardi F. 4. Milazzo S. 20. Pietrelli R. 30. Strada N. (G) 26. Tempre M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
32', Cerretti C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Tarantino J. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
57', Paolieri L. ↓, Migliardi F. ↑,
58', Peralta D. 🟨,
60', Dionisi F. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
61', Biondi K. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Nabian H. ⚽,
74', Marchesi F. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Faggi F. ⚽,
75', Faggi F. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
83', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
83', Peralta D. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
87', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
90+7', Panattoni M. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Livorno is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Italy
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Seghetti J. (G) 
Nabian H. 
Ciobanu N. D. (G) 
Haveri K. 
Odjer M. 
Gueye O. 
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