Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Giana Erminio		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.15
	2.13	2.95	3.25
	2.15	3.24	3.31
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.14	3.26	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.49)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.25 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
42.8%

Draw
29%

Pontedera
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

22.1%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giana Erminio's performance.

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giana Erminio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giana Erminio - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Giana Erminio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giana Erminio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	Livorno - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Giana Erminio - Como	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Pro Sesto - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
12.10.20	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLTW
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
08.11.20	Pistoiese - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Pontedera - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Alessandria - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Pontedera - Lecco	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Novara - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.20	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	0:2
29.09.19	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	1:3
21.01.18	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	3:1
10.09.17	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	1:1
13.04.17	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	2:0
04.12.16	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	0:1

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