Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Pontedera		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.82
	3.75	3	1.95
	3.9	2.95	1.88
	4.74	2.76	1.77
	3.75	3	1.91
	4.85	3.08	1.8	Watch
	4	3.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.33)	3 ↑ (2.7)	1.86 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
21.7%

Draw
30%

Reggiana
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

32.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

31.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reggiana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reggiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Pontedera - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pontedera will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Reggiana will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1.

Recent matches Pontedera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reggiana is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Pontedera have a series of guest games.

Reggiana will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Rimini - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pontedera - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:4 ✺
19.02.23	Recanatese - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.23	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Reggiana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
20.02.23	Cesena - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Reggiana - Gubbio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.11.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
06.03.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	2:0
25.10.21	Pontedera - Reggiana	2:2
15.02.15	Reggiana - Pontedera	2:0
28.09.14	Pontedera - Reggiana	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.26	Reggiana - Sambenedettese	✺

Pontedera - Reggiana