Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.25
	1.62	3.8	4.95
	1.63	3.87	5.98
	3.32	3.24	2.18	Watch
	1.65	3.66	5.32	Watch
	1.63	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.05)	3.72 ↑ (3.25)	4.85 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
53.1%

Draw
26.5%

Reggiana
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

Cesena - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cesena (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cesena (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cesena will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 70. Francesconi M. 4. Castagnetti M. 14. Berti T. 17. Adamo E. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.	1. Motta E. (G) 17. Libutti L. (C) 2. Papetti A. 43. Bonetti S. 7. Marras M. 16. Reinhart T. 8. Charlys 3. Bozzolan A. 90. Portanova M. 80. Girma N. 10. Tavsan E.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 99. Frabotta G. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M. 1. Siano A. (G)	19. Basili D. 26. Bertagnoli M. 91. Conte O. 93. Lambourde M. 96. Magnani G. 44. Mendicino L. 9. Novakovich A. 23. Rover M. 21. Saro G. (G) 12. Seculin A. (G) 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Dionigi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', Bonetti S. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Ciervo R. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Marras M. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Portanova M. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bonetti S. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
46', Blesa J. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
47', Papetti A. 🟨,
50', Reinhart T. 🟨,
53', Ciervo R. 🟨,
54', Francesconi M. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
61', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
64', Tavsan E. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
71', Berti T. 🟨,
73', Girma N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
74', Ciervo R. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
74', Castagnetti M. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
81', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
81', Marras M. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
88', Bastoni S. 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Cesena is the team to beat.

There will not play in Reggiana: Quaranta D. (Injury) Rozzio P. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Seculin A. (Injury) Stulac L. (Injury) Urso O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Frosinone - Cesena	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cesena - Palermo	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Venezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sampdoria - Cesena	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Cesena - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWWT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Reggiana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Reggiana - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.02.25	Reggiana - Cesena	0:1
23.11.24	Cesena - Reggiana	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
20.02.23	Cesena - Reggiana	1:2
19.10.22	Reggiana - Cesena	0:1
21.03.22	Cesena - Reggiana	2:2
14.11.21	Reggiana - Cesena	0:0

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