Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Recanatese		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.5	2.1	Watch
	2.99	3.4	2.09
	3.29	3.35	2.2
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.16	3.35	2.08
	3.1	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
29.4%

Draw
27%

Pontedera
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.9%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontedera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontedera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Recanatese - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recanatese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pontedera will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meli G. (G) 19. Raimo A. 2. Veltri A. 5. Shiba C. 25. Longobardi G. 17. Egharevba D. 16. Morrone B. 31. Fiorini M. 8. Carpani G. 9. Melchiorri F. 11. Lipari M.	12. Ciocci G. (G) 4. Calvani G. 19. Espeche M. 18. Guidi M. 21. Perretta G. 16. Ignacchiti L. 14. Lombardi A. 3. Angori S. 20. Delpupo I. 11. Ianesi S. 99. Ganz S.
Substitutes
74. Ahmetaj M. 3. Allievi N. 99. Elbazar E. 37. Ferretti D. 21. Guidobaldi F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 14. Mazia A. 7. Pelamatti A. 54. Peretti M. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 33. Rizzo F.	7. Ambrosini M. 10. Benedetti G. 23. Cerretti C. 2. Gagliardi L. 1. Lewis L. (G) 15. Peli L. 6. Pretato M. 27. Provenzano A. 26. Selleri G. 30. Vivoli N. (G)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recanatese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pontedera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontedera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
26.01.24	Recanatese - Fermana	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Lucchese - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Recanatese - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
10.01.24	Gubbio - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Sassari Torres - Recanatese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
27.01.24	Pontedera - Perugia	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Cesena - Pontedera	4:0 ✺
13.01.24	Pontedera - Fermana	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:2 ✺
22.12.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.23	Pontedera - Recanatese	2:2
19.02.23	Recanatese - Pontedera	1:0
19.10.22	Pontedera - Recanatese	0:0

Recanatese - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide