Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Date: 13 February 2023, Monday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)


	Reggiana		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.3
	1.55	3.7	5.89
	1.53	3.3	6.5
	1.56	3.58	6.05	Watch
	1.55	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	5.77 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
58.7%

Draw
25.6%

Gubbio
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

26.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Reggiana - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 2.

Reggiana is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gubbio is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Reggiana is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Reggiana to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Reggiana won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggiana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.23	Ancona - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Reggiana - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
22.01.23	Reggiana - Alessandria	3:2 ✺
15.01.23	Montevarchi - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.23	Rimini - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Gubbio - Ancona	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Alessandria - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.10.22	Gubbio - Reggiana	1:2
23.02.22	Gubbio - Reggiana	2:1
12.09.21	Reggiana - Gubbio	0:0
18.03.18	Reggiana - Gubbio	3:2
29.10.17	Gubbio - Reggiana	1:0
17.04.17	Reggiana - Gubbio	1:1
04.12.16	Gubbio - Reggiana	2:3

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