Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 11 May 2023, Thursday


	Pontedera		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.3	2.75	3.05
	2.24	2.83	3.51
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.23	2.98	3.32	Watch
	2.21	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	3.2 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
40.4%

Draw
31.4%

Siena
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

32.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Pontedera - Siena Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pontedera will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Siena will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pontedera: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 2.

Pontedera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Siena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Fermana - Pontedera	0:4 ✺
06.04.23	Pontedera - Montevarchi	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Virtus Entella - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Pontedera - Imolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLW
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.23	Siena - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Fiorenzuola - Siena	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Siena - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Fermana - Siena	3:1 ✺
26.03.23	Carrarese - Siena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Siena - Pontedera	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Siena - Pontedera	0:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.22	Pontedera - Siena	0:2
14.04.22	Pontedera - Siena	1:2
12.12.21	Siena - Pontedera	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.19	Siena - Pontedera	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.10.19	Siena - Pontedera	2:0

Pontedera - Siena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide