Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 35

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Fermana		Siena

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.8	2.4
	2.95	2.75	2.45
	2.81	2.75	2.48
	2.88	2.75	2.5
	2.88	2.95	2.5	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.6)	2.81 ↑ (2.72)	2.47 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
31.3%

Draw
32.1%

Siena
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

33.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

34.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fermana - Siena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fermana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
26.03.23	Lucchese - Fermana	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Fermana - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Alessandria - Fermana	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Imolese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTTT
- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
26.03.23	Carrarese - Siena	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Siena - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
14.03.23	Lucchese - Siena	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Siena - Vis Pesaro	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Siena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.22	Siena - Fermana	2:3
16.02.22	Siena - Fermana	2:0
09.10.21	Fermana - Siena	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Siena - Fermana	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Siena - Ancona	✺

Fermana - Siena