Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Pontevedra		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.46	4	6
	1.45	4.1	6.43
	1.45	4.12	6.44	Watch
	1.43	4.25	6.76
	1.46	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.08 ↓ (4.2)	6.27 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
63%

Draw
22.4%

Bergantiños
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

20.5%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Pontevedra - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Fontan J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: ) and 10).

Pontevedra in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bergantiños is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Pontevedra is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pontevedra to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Pontevedra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.11.24	Coruxo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Guijuelo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Pontevedra - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Escobedo - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWW
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	Bergantiños - Compostela	0:4 ✺
03.11.24	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Bergantiños - Marbella	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.02.22	Pontevedra - Bergantiños	0:1
26.09.21	Bergantiños - Pontevedra	2:2

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